A weird thought, but what if Moldova recognizes Transnistria in it's current borders, catching everyone by surprise? I see no upsides here for that rogue state, while Moldova arguably gets more than it sacrifices. There's like with North Korea not a dream of simple reintegration since shouldering it economically after all these years and fighting a russian openly supported proxy isn't what Moldova can do alone. But clearing itself for joining alliances, closing borders completely, making every violence an act of international agression, rendering Transnistria irrelevant for Russia and thus starving it from support, suggesting every USSR enthusiast to kindly fuck off? The longer it goes on like that, the more it seems like a rational thing to do.
Unlike Donbass or Crimea it exists for 30+ years and actively benefits from being a part of Moldova getting access to it's and EU market through it. Making them independent would crush their economy to the point they'd ask to get back themselves. That'd be then decided by the moldovan citizens. If there's no immediate danger of Russia opening the second front here, this table flip can probably work out. Is it possible?