I feel like polls always underestimate the popularity of the far-right. Look at the latest election in NL for example - all the media was reporting that it was a 3-way race between NSC, PvdA/GL and VVD. PVV was projected a distant 4th and was practically forgotten about. Of course, we all know the result - PVV beat each of them by almost 10%!!!
So really, people need to stop believing so much in those stupid fucking polls and projections. The far-right is real and needs to be taken very seriously. Assume that they'll always get 10% minimum more than projections say.